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USF researchers release findings from statewide 2020 presidential election survey

A stock photograph of a buttons that say "Vote 2020"

Researchers with the 最新天美传媒 have released results from a statewide survey that measures attitudes and opinions regarding the 2020 presidential election and the current political climate.

Below are key findings:

Floridians see 2020 as a 鈥淰ery Important鈥 election: Almost 90% of Floridians surveyed say that 2020 will be 鈥淰ery Important鈥 when 鈥渃ompared to recent Presidential elections鈥. This sentiment is equally shared by both Republicans and Democrats.

Presidential election is a significant source of stress and worry: Just over 80% agree that they are 鈥渨orried about the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election,鈥 while 56% say that the election 鈥渋s a considerable source of stress鈥 for them. Republicans and Democrats report roughly equal levels of election-related stress.

COVID-19 and the economy top the list of important issues: More than half of Floridians identified either 鈥淛obs and the Economy鈥 (28%) or the 鈥淐OVID-19 pandemic鈥 (26%) as the most important factor in their 鈥渃hoice when voting for President鈥. The only other issue identified by more than 10% of respondents was 鈥淗ealthcare鈥 (16%). Republicans were significantly more likely to identify 鈥淛obs and the Economy鈥 as the most important issue (46%), while Democrats were more likely to say the COVID-19 pandemic (35%).

Election expected to have significant impacts: A plurality of respondents (45%) believe that their household finances will be 鈥渟ignificantly impacted by the outcome of the Presidential election鈥, while nearly a two-thirds majority (64%) says the same about the COVID-19 pandemic. Democrats are more likely than Republicans to believe that the outcome will affect the COVID-19 pandemic, though majorities in both parties believe that it will (75% and 53% respectively).

A large move toward absentee voting: A plurality of respondents (43%) indicated that they would vote 鈥渂y mail-in or absentee ballot鈥, while one-third (34%) said they would vote 鈥渋n-person on election day.鈥 (By way of comparison, according to Florida Secretary of State data, in 2016 only 28.7% of general election voters cast ballots by mail.) Others plan on voting 鈥渋n-person at an early voting location鈥 (23%). Based on the responses, Democrats are significantly more likely to vote by mail/absentee ballot, and Republicans are significantly more likely to vote in person on Election Day.

Significant concerns over foreign interference: Two-thirds of respondents indicated that they are either 鈥淰ery Concerned鈥 (27%) or 鈥淪omewhat Concerned鈥 (40%) about the possibility of 鈥渇oreign governments interfering in the 2020 Presidential election鈥.

Some small concerns over fairness: A majority of Floridians are at least 鈥淪omewhat Confident鈥 (49%) that 鈥渢he 2020 election will be conducted fairly鈥, though only 23% indicated that they are 鈥淰ery Confident鈥 of this, while just under a third (29%) were either 鈥淣ot Very Confident鈥 or 鈥淣ot at All Confident鈥.

The survey of 600 Floridians was fielded Oct. 10-17, and the results are reported with a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error +/- 4.

The complete survey results can be found here.

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